Our standings remain the same after Wildcard Weekend but the picks have changed quite dramatically! Amazing what a week does, especially as we see which underclassmen declare and which return to college.
#1 - Indianapolis, Andrew Luck QB, Stanford (underclassman)
Needs: CB, OT, DT - BPA vs Need Quotient=5.7
Breaking news has Andrew Luck going to the Colts, wow. Not really so breaking, owner Jim Irsay says he is taking Luck, they may trade him or the pick if Manning is healthy but otherwise Luck remains the number 1 draft choice for 2012.
#2 - St Louis, Matt Kalil-Offensive Tackle, USC (underclassman)
Needs: CB, OLB, DT, OT - BNQ=4.5
Some people think the Rams will draft Justin Blackmon but the need at tackle is just so great we can’t see them passing up Kalil for anybody (unless a super trade occurs). With Barkley returning to USC, Kalil is the undisputed number 2 on the board and will be just what St Louis need to help QB Sam Bradford stay upright.
#3 Minnesota, Justin Blackmon-Wide Receiver, Oklahoma State
Needs: WR, DB, OL - BNQ=2.7
Minnesota like to take their guy as evidenced with the shock pick of Christian Ponder at #12 overall last year. Now they can go get Ponder some help with Blackmon who should be there unless the Rams pass up their tackle need for a receiver. If so Kalil becomes the likely pick here or CB Morris Claiborne.
#4 Cleveland, TRADE with Miami, Robert Griffin III-Quarterback, Baylor (underclassman)
Needs: QB, DT, ILB, OL - BNQ=3.4
We’ve had Miami missing on RGIII and taking WR Michael Floyd instead but Griffin may be too tempting to pass up and a trade with Cleveland at the right price is now a more likely scenario.
#5 - Tampa Bay, Morris Claiborne-Cornerback, LSU (underclassman)
Needs: OLB, ILB, CB - BNQ=5.4
Expect the Bucs to take BPA which would be a choice between Riley Reiff and Morris Claiborne. Cornerback is the bigger need so Claiborne gets the nod. If Griffin happened to still be on the board at this point he could be a surprise choice with a new coach in Tampa.
#6 Washington, Trent Richardson-Halfback, Alabama (underclassman)
Needs: QB, WR, ILB - BNQ=5.8
Shanahan hasn’t shown much propensity for running the ball after Tim Hightower went down but may covet Richardson so much he goes back there despite the cries to improve the passing side of his game with either a QB or WR. It is likely between Ryan Tannehill and the very impressive Richardson at this point.
#7 Jacksonville, Michael Floyd-Wide Receiver, Notre Dame
Needs: WR, DE, CB - BNQ=5.5
Jacksonville will want to add a skill position with a new owner and coach in charge and Floyd could be the help new QB Blaine Gabbert needs. Alternative surprise choice could be Alshon Jeffery who has off-field issues but a bigger upside.
#8 Cleveland, Riley Reiff-Offensive Tackle, Iowa (underclassman)
Needs: RB, ROT, WR - BNQ=4.0
We had Reiff here at #4 but the trade still leaves Mike Holmgren with his man. Holgrem has not been tempted by the flashy choices since taking over at Cleveland and will probably shun the RB and WR positions just now but he has another 1st round pick and 2 seconds to fill that requirement later.
#9 - Carolina, Devon Still-Defensive Tackle/End, Penn State
Needs: WR, DT, ILB - BNQ=4.0
Devon Still is really climbing the draft boards and the flexible DT in a 4-3 or DE in a 3-4 would be a good addition for the Panthers as they may be changing their defense this year or running more hybrids.
#10 - Buffalo, Ryan Tannehill-Quarterback, Texas A&M
Needs: OLB, CB, LT - BNQ=4.9
Courtney Upshaw or Dre Kirkpatrick would be the more obvious choices here but Tannehill may be too good a prospect to pass up for the Bills who have stated on numerous occasions over the past 2 seasons that they will take a QB they like if they are there.
#11 Kansas City, Dre Kirkpatrick-Cornerback, Alabama (underclassman)
Needs: OT, CB, ILB = BNQ=3.9
Jonathan Martin is available as is Dont’a Hightower but Kirkpatrick’s performance in the BCS Championship Game has to have him top 10 material and is a great pickup for new coach Romeo Crennell.
#12 Seattle, Courtney Upshaw-Outside Linebacker, Alabama
Needs: QB, PR, CB - BNQ=4.5
Seattle need a QB but will hold off for now and take Upshaw who also fills a primary need.
#13 - Arizona, Jonathan Martin-Offensive Tackle, Stanford (underclassman)
Needs: LOT, OL, LB, DB - BNQ=5.4
Arizona like to take a value pick at a position of need. OT is the obvious position for them and with Jonathan Martin still available it is an easy choice for the Cards.
#14 – Dallas, Quinton Coples-Defensive End, North Carolina
Needs: FS, OLB, DE, CB - BNQ=4.0
Coples may drop lower than this which would open up this pick but right now he is still a fringe top 10 player who will fit well into Dallas’s defense.
#15 - Philadephia, Donta’ Hightower-Inside Linebacker, Alabama (underclassman)
Needs: ILB, OT, OLB - BNQ=4.1
Hightower has size and presence and could play either inside or out, Philadelphia need all of the above, a pretty easy choice.
#16 – NY Jets, David DeCastro-Offensive Guard, Stanford (underclassman)
Needs: OLB, DB, OL - BNQ=6.3
DeCastro is the best player on the board, if he is still there the Jets will take him without hesitation. If not look for Kendall Wright or Nick Perry as other options. This is assuming the Jets don’t trade this pick as part of a package to the Colts for Peyton Manning.
#17 - Cincinnati (from Oakland), Nick Perry-Defensive End/Outside Linebacker, USC
Needs: CB, RB, OLB - BNQ=5.3
The Bengals have a pass rushing need and may take Nick Perry here. Kendall Wright, Melvin Ingram and Luke Kuechly are other options for a team that likes to meet need with BPA.
#18 - San Diego, Luke Kuechly-Inside Linebacker, Boston College (underclassman)
Needs: ROT, ILB, OLB - BNQ=3.7
The Chargers keep coach Norv Turner and GM A.J. Smith and draft need. Kuechly will be a huge upgrade to the weak linebacking corps in San Diego.
#19 - Chicago, Mohamed Sanu-Wide Receiver, Rutgers (underclassman)
Needs: WR, OL, TE - BNQ=5.0
The Bears recent draft system is relatively unknown and GM Jerry Angelo has already been fired. We wondered if Matt Forte would be let go but if he returns then Sanu could be the option as the Bears desperately need help at receiver.
#20 - Tennessee, Melvin Ingram-Defensive End, South Carolina
Needs: DE, WR, DB - BNQ=4.4
The Titans would be happy to upgrade their front 4 at this late stage with a fringe top 10 talent in Ingram.
#21 - Cincinnati, Alfonzo Dennard-Cornerback, Nebraska
Cincinnati get their need at CB with Dennard.
#22 Cleveland (from Atlanta), Alshon Jeffrey-Wide Receiver, Notre Dame
Jeffrey is a bit of a risk but the Browns have a plan to upgrade across a number of positions this draft and may even conduct a trade to get more picks but look for them to target Jeffrey to give Colt McCoy a viable number 1 target.
#23 - Detroit, Cordy Glenn-Offensive Guard, Georgia
Needs: OG, OT, CB - BNQ=4.5
You never quite know which way Detroit will turn come draft day. It would make sense for them to either take a chance on CB Janoris Jenkins or go for WR Kendall Wright. Right now we have them filling a need but realistically you could throw a dart at the board at this point and be closer to figuring out what the Lions will do.
#24 - Pittsburgh, Dontari Poe, Defensive Tackle, Memphis
Needs: OL, OLB, NT - BNQ=6.7
The question is will Poe rise enough for the Steelers to take him, they almost exclusively take BPA which would be Kendall Wright, Jerel Worthy or Fletcher Cox but Poe could be too enticing to pass up.
#25 Denver, Fletcher Cox-Defensive End/Tackle, Mississippi State
Needs: CB, OT, DL, WR - BNQ=7.5
Hard to think that the Broncos will take a chance on CB Janoris Jenkins nor reach for Chase Minnifield, instead John Fox takes BPA in Fletcher Cox which has the added bonus of shoring up their defensive line.
#26 - NY Giants, Mike Adams-Offensive Tackle, Ohio State
Needs: OL, LB, RB - BNQ=3.0
Giants need help on the O-Line quite severely especially at right tackle, expect a need pick here as that is what history tells us with the Giants and the first round. Mike Adams is a work in progress but New York will be happy to reach if they believe in their man.
#27 - Houston, Jerel Worthy-Defensive Tackle, Michigan State (underclassman)
Needs: OL, DL, DB - BNQ=4.0
Houston need to get bigger across their defensive front and Worthy will help them do that although CB could also be an option here.
#28 – San Francisco, Kendall Wright-Wide Receiver/Kick Returner, Baylor
Needs: CB, WR, OL - BNQ=3.5
I doubt Wright will fall this far but if he does he is a great addition to an improving receiving corps.
#29 - New England, Peter Konz-Offensive Center, Wisconsin (underclassman)
Needs: OC, DB, DT - BNQ=4.7
The Pats need a center so this is an easy choice for a guy that is clearly first round material.
#30 - New England, Janoris Jenkins-Cornerback, North Alabama
Someone will take a chance on Jenkins to overcome off-field issues, and it may occur here if not before. Otherwise Jayron Hosley and Chase Minnifield are the other men at CB or Mark Barron at safety if Jenkins is considered too big a risk or a trade as the Pats like that sort of thing.
#31 - Baltimore, Vontaze Burfict-Inside Linebacker, Arizona State
Needs: LOT, LB, DB - BNQ=6.2
Like Jenkins, Burfict has some issues but expect the Ravens to bring him into their system to become the next Ray Lewis.
#32 - Green Bay, Lamar Miller-Running Back, Miami
Needs: OLB, S, ILB - BNQ=5.0
The Packers could do with an upgrade at running back although Zach Brown or Mark Barron may cover more pressing needs.
#1 - Indianapolis, Andrew Luck QB, Stanford (underclassman)
Needs: CB, OT, DT - BPA vs Need Quotient=5.7
Breaking news has Andrew Luck going to the Colts, wow. Not really so breaking, owner Jim Irsay says he is taking Luck, they may trade him or the pick if Manning is healthy but otherwise Luck remains the number 1 draft choice for 2012.
#2 - St Louis, Matt Kalil-Offensive Tackle, USC (underclassman)
Needs: CB, OLB, DT, OT - BNQ=4.5
Some people think the Rams will draft Justin Blackmon but the need at tackle is just so great we can’t see them passing up Kalil for anybody (unless a super trade occurs). With Barkley returning to USC, Kalil is the undisputed number 2 on the board and will be just what St Louis need to help QB Sam Bradford stay upright.
#3 Minnesota, Justin Blackmon-Wide Receiver, Oklahoma State
Needs: WR, DB, OL - BNQ=2.7
Minnesota like to take their guy as evidenced with the shock pick of Christian Ponder at #12 overall last year. Now they can go get Ponder some help with Blackmon who should be there unless the Rams pass up their tackle need for a receiver. If so Kalil becomes the likely pick here or CB Morris Claiborne.
#4 Cleveland, TRADE with Miami, Robert Griffin III-Quarterback, Baylor (underclassman)
Needs: QB, DT, ILB, OL - BNQ=3.4
We’ve had Miami missing on RGIII and taking WR Michael Floyd instead but Griffin may be too tempting to pass up and a trade with Cleveland at the right price is now a more likely scenario.
#5 - Tampa Bay, Morris Claiborne-Cornerback, LSU (underclassman)
Needs: OLB, ILB, CB - BNQ=5.4
Expect the Bucs to take BPA which would be a choice between Riley Reiff and Morris Claiborne. Cornerback is the bigger need so Claiborne gets the nod. If Griffin happened to still be on the board at this point he could be a surprise choice with a new coach in Tampa.
#6 Washington, Trent Richardson-Halfback, Alabama (underclassman)
Needs: QB, WR, ILB - BNQ=5.8
Shanahan hasn’t shown much propensity for running the ball after Tim Hightower went down but may covet Richardson so much he goes back there despite the cries to improve the passing side of his game with either a QB or WR. It is likely between Ryan Tannehill and the very impressive Richardson at this point.
#7 Jacksonville, Michael Floyd-Wide Receiver, Notre Dame
Needs: WR, DE, CB - BNQ=5.5
Jacksonville will want to add a skill position with a new owner and coach in charge and Floyd could be the help new QB Blaine Gabbert needs. Alternative surprise choice could be Alshon Jeffery who has off-field issues but a bigger upside.
#8 Cleveland, Riley Reiff-Offensive Tackle, Iowa (underclassman)
Needs: RB, ROT, WR - BNQ=4.0
We had Reiff here at #4 but the trade still leaves Mike Holmgren with his man. Holgrem has not been tempted by the flashy choices since taking over at Cleveland and will probably shun the RB and WR positions just now but he has another 1st round pick and 2 seconds to fill that requirement later.
#9 - Carolina, Devon Still-Defensive Tackle/End, Penn State
Needs: WR, DT, ILB - BNQ=4.0
Devon Still is really climbing the draft boards and the flexible DT in a 4-3 or DE in a 3-4 would be a good addition for the Panthers as they may be changing their defense this year or running more hybrids.
#10 - Buffalo, Ryan Tannehill-Quarterback, Texas A&M
Needs: OLB, CB, LT - BNQ=4.9
Courtney Upshaw or Dre Kirkpatrick would be the more obvious choices here but Tannehill may be too good a prospect to pass up for the Bills who have stated on numerous occasions over the past 2 seasons that they will take a QB they like if they are there.
#11 Kansas City, Dre Kirkpatrick-Cornerback, Alabama (underclassman)
Needs: OT, CB, ILB = BNQ=3.9
Jonathan Martin is available as is Dont’a Hightower but Kirkpatrick’s performance in the BCS Championship Game has to have him top 10 material and is a great pickup for new coach Romeo Crennell.
#12 Seattle, Courtney Upshaw-Outside Linebacker, Alabama
Needs: QB, PR, CB - BNQ=4.5
Seattle need a QB but will hold off for now and take Upshaw who also fills a primary need.
#13 - Arizona, Jonathan Martin-Offensive Tackle, Stanford (underclassman)
Needs: LOT, OL, LB, DB - BNQ=5.4
Arizona like to take a value pick at a position of need. OT is the obvious position for them and with Jonathan Martin still available it is an easy choice for the Cards.
#14 – Dallas, Quinton Coples-Defensive End, North Carolina
Needs: FS, OLB, DE, CB - BNQ=4.0
Coples may drop lower than this which would open up this pick but right now he is still a fringe top 10 player who will fit well into Dallas’s defense.
#15 - Philadephia, Donta’ Hightower-Inside Linebacker, Alabama (underclassman)
Needs: ILB, OT, OLB - BNQ=4.1
Hightower has size and presence and could play either inside or out, Philadelphia need all of the above, a pretty easy choice.
#16 – NY Jets, David DeCastro-Offensive Guard, Stanford (underclassman)
Needs: OLB, DB, OL - BNQ=6.3
DeCastro is the best player on the board, if he is still there the Jets will take him without hesitation. If not look for Kendall Wright or Nick Perry as other options. This is assuming the Jets don’t trade this pick as part of a package to the Colts for Peyton Manning.
#17 - Cincinnati (from Oakland), Nick Perry-Defensive End/Outside Linebacker, USC
Needs: CB, RB, OLB - BNQ=5.3
The Bengals have a pass rushing need and may take Nick Perry here. Kendall Wright, Melvin Ingram and Luke Kuechly are other options for a team that likes to meet need with BPA.
#18 - San Diego, Luke Kuechly-Inside Linebacker, Boston College (underclassman)
Needs: ROT, ILB, OLB - BNQ=3.7
The Chargers keep coach Norv Turner and GM A.J. Smith and draft need. Kuechly will be a huge upgrade to the weak linebacking corps in San Diego.
#19 - Chicago, Mohamed Sanu-Wide Receiver, Rutgers (underclassman)
Needs: WR, OL, TE - BNQ=5.0
The Bears recent draft system is relatively unknown and GM Jerry Angelo has already been fired. We wondered if Matt Forte would be let go but if he returns then Sanu could be the option as the Bears desperately need help at receiver.
#20 - Tennessee, Melvin Ingram-Defensive End, South Carolina
Needs: DE, WR, DB - BNQ=4.4
The Titans would be happy to upgrade their front 4 at this late stage with a fringe top 10 talent in Ingram.
#21 - Cincinnati, Alfonzo Dennard-Cornerback, Nebraska
Cincinnati get their need at CB with Dennard.
#22 Cleveland (from Atlanta), Alshon Jeffrey-Wide Receiver, Notre Dame
Jeffrey is a bit of a risk but the Browns have a plan to upgrade across a number of positions this draft and may even conduct a trade to get more picks but look for them to target Jeffrey to give Colt McCoy a viable number 1 target.
#23 - Detroit, Cordy Glenn-Offensive Guard, Georgia
Needs: OG, OT, CB - BNQ=4.5
You never quite know which way Detroit will turn come draft day. It would make sense for them to either take a chance on CB Janoris Jenkins or go for WR Kendall Wright. Right now we have them filling a need but realistically you could throw a dart at the board at this point and be closer to figuring out what the Lions will do.
#24 - Pittsburgh, Dontari Poe, Defensive Tackle, Memphis
Needs: OL, OLB, NT - BNQ=6.7
The question is will Poe rise enough for the Steelers to take him, they almost exclusively take BPA which would be Kendall Wright, Jerel Worthy or Fletcher Cox but Poe could be too enticing to pass up.
#25 Denver, Fletcher Cox-Defensive End/Tackle, Mississippi State
Needs: CB, OT, DL, WR - BNQ=7.5
Hard to think that the Broncos will take a chance on CB Janoris Jenkins nor reach for Chase Minnifield, instead John Fox takes BPA in Fletcher Cox which has the added bonus of shoring up their defensive line.
#26 - NY Giants, Mike Adams-Offensive Tackle, Ohio State
Needs: OL, LB, RB - BNQ=3.0
Giants need help on the O-Line quite severely especially at right tackle, expect a need pick here as that is what history tells us with the Giants and the first round. Mike Adams is a work in progress but New York will be happy to reach if they believe in their man.
#27 - Houston, Jerel Worthy-Defensive Tackle, Michigan State (underclassman)
Needs: OL, DL, DB - BNQ=4.0
Houston need to get bigger across their defensive front and Worthy will help them do that although CB could also be an option here.
#28 – San Francisco, Kendall Wright-Wide Receiver/Kick Returner, Baylor
Needs: CB, WR, OL - BNQ=3.5
I doubt Wright will fall this far but if he does he is a great addition to an improving receiving corps.
#29 - New England, Peter Konz-Offensive Center, Wisconsin (underclassman)
Needs: OC, DB, DT - BNQ=4.7
The Pats need a center so this is an easy choice for a guy that is clearly first round material.
#30 - New England, Janoris Jenkins-Cornerback, North Alabama
Someone will take a chance on Jenkins to overcome off-field issues, and it may occur here if not before. Otherwise Jayron Hosley and Chase Minnifield are the other men at CB or Mark Barron at safety if Jenkins is considered too big a risk or a trade as the Pats like that sort of thing.
#31 - Baltimore, Vontaze Burfict-Inside Linebacker, Arizona State
Needs: LOT, LB, DB - BNQ=6.2
Like Jenkins, Burfict has some issues but expect the Ravens to bring him into their system to become the next Ray Lewis.
#32 - Green Bay, Lamar Miller-Running Back, Miami
Needs: OLB, S, ILB - BNQ=5.0
The Packers could do with an upgrade at running back although Zach Brown or Mark Barron may cover more pressing needs.
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